Understanding and predicting the effects of solar storms with a new AI model

On the left-hand side of the image is the sun with fiery solar flares extending across the picture to the Earth on the right-hand side. Here the Earth’s magnetic field is acting like a “shield” diverting the fire around the planet

Solar flares, caused by perturbations in the sun’s magnetic field as it rotates, can release vast amounts of energy into space. The largest are equivalent to a billion hydrogen bombs, sending energetic particles hurtling towards the Earth at relativistic velocities. These can cause damage to orbiting satellites or cause radio and power blackouts, but predicting their occurrence in time for preventative actions has proven challenging.

Challenge

Solution

Impact

Image of the northern lights

Understanding the link between cosmic rays on ozone and the biosphere

The Biosphere project: • developed novel instruments for observation of secondary cosmic rays (SCR) including portable muon and neutron detectors and a customised, miniaturised particle telescope which were employed in four measurement campaigns allowing simultaneous measurements of SCR fluxes, UV radiation spectrum, and column ozone. • established a database of major stratosphere gases for simulating interactions of secondary electrons generated by primary cosmic rays (PCR) and SCR. • produced a Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural network model using PROBA-V/EPT satellite observations to forecast energetic electron fluxes in the terrestrial radiation belts, alongside an improved GEANT4 AtRIS tool for determining the ionization rate and radiation dose in the atmosphere due to the penetration of energetic particles with different spectra. • performed one of the first systematic assessments on the effects of combined radiation fields on normal human cells covering molecular, cellular, and cytogenetic endpoints, demonstrating that co-exposure to UVB and ionizing radiation leads to more persistent DNA damage compared with single-radiation.

  • Category
  • European Partnership on Metrology,
  • Green Deal,
  • EMN Radiation Protection,